This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q1 of 2026 compared with the same quarter a year ago in the "GDP First quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q1 of 2026, scheduled for May 14, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
0.9-1.2%
$4.9K Volume
99%
Negative
$7K Volume
1%
0.0-0.3%
$11.2K Volume
1%
0.3-0.6%
$4.7K Volume
1%
0.6-0.9%
$16.3K Volume
1%
1.2-1.5%
$3.8K Volume
1%
1.5-1.8%
$1.7K Volume
1%
1.8%+
$3.7K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
When does the UK GDP growth in Q1 2026? (Resolved) market resolve?
Trading here has ended - the market resolved and was settled under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on UK GDP growth in Q1 2026? (Resolved)?
$5 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
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