UK · GDP

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

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$105 Volume

12/11/2026 00:00

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Past

Aug 12 May 14

Nov 12

0.4–0.5%

$710 Volume

26%

0.2–0.3%

$2K Volume

26%

0.0–0.1%

$3.7K Volume

18%

Negative

$1.9K Volume

20%

0.6–0.7%

$203 Volume

19%

1.0%+

$200 Volume

0.8–0.9%

$190 Volume

This market will resolve according to the UK real gross domestic product (GDP) growth rate (% change) for Q3 of 2026 compared with the most recent quarter (quarter-on-previous-quarter) in the "GDP first quarterly estimate, UK" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for November 12, 2026.

The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/bulletins/gdpfirstquarterlyestimateuk/previousreleases

If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

Even the leader is cheap - 0.4–0.5% trades at 24%, 0.2–0.3% at 23%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.

What do traders predict for UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

No strong consensus yet: 0.4–0.5% tops the implied probabilities at just 24%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.

When does the UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ) market resolve?

The market runs until 12 Nov 2026 (81 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

$105 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ) on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.