This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Trump out as President by August 31?
Yes is the outsider here at 1%, while No trades at 99%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Trump out as President by August 31?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 1% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Trump out as President by August 31 market resolve?
Mark 31 Aug 2026 (31 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Trump out as President by August 31?
Total turnover stands at $48.9K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Trump out as President by August 31 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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