This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
OpenAI
$2.5K Volume
80%
Moonshot
$3.3K Volume
11%
Z.ai
$2K Volume
1%
Xiaomi
$905 Volume
1%
Anthropic
$811 Volume
1%
Alibaba
$696 Volume
1%
MiniMax
$827 Volume
1%
Amazon
$477 Volume
1%
Meituan
$580 Volume
1%
SpaceXAI
$466 Volume
1%
Meta
$504 Volume
1%
Google
$462 Volume
1%
DeepSeek
$464 Volume
1%
Nvidia
$401 Volume
1%
ByteDance
$465 Volume
1%
Baidu
$699 Volume
1%
Mistral
$1.2K Volume
1%
Microsoft
$385 Volume
1%
Other
50%
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
Company D
50%
Company E
50%
Company F
50%
Company G
50%
Company H
50%
Company I
50%
Company J
50%
Company K
50%
Company L
50%
Company M
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
The money is on OpenAI at 79%; Other follows at 50%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
Traders lean toward OpenAI, pricing it at 79%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Aug 2026 (9 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August?
$14.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Third-best AI Agent Lab end of August on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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