The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is expected to hold a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections in October 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) to contest the 2027 French presidential elections.
If no nominee is announced by April 17, 2027, 11:59PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Any replacement of the nominee before the 2027 French presidential elections will not change the resolution of the market.
Raphael Glucksmann
$12.8K Volume
70%
Olivier Faure
$1.5K Volume
12%
Boris Vallaud
$8.1K Volume
12%
Segolene Royal
$1.4K Volume
8%
Philippe Brun
$1.2K Volume
3%
Francois Hollande
$4K Volume
1%
Jérôme Guedj
$687 Volume
1%
Karim Bouamrane
$922 Volume
1%
Carole Delga
$723 Volume
2%
Bernard Cazeneuve
$708 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee?
The current front-runner is Raphael Glucksmann at 69%, ahead of Person D at 50%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee?
Traders currently imply a 69% chance for Raphael Glucksmann. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Oct 2026 (69 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee?
Total traded volume on this market is $31.9K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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