AI · Tech

Second-best AI Lab end of August?

$7.3K Volume
31/08/2026 23:59
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Google
$1.6K Volume
59%
Meta
$831 Volume
30%
Alibaba
$394 Volume
7%
Anthropic
$479 Volume
2%
Moonshot
$264 Volume
2%
Thinky
$266 Volume
2%
OpenAI
$232 Volume
2%
SpaceXAI
$252 Volume
2%
Microsoft
$306 Volume
2%
Z.ai
$318 Volume
1%
Meituan
$253 Volume
1%
Baidu
$289 Volume
1%
Xiaomi
$193 Volume
1%
DeepSeek
$194 Volume
1%
Amazon
$206 Volume
1%
ByteDance
$294 Volume
1%
Nvidia
$188 Volume
1%
MiniMax
$186 Volume
1%
Mistral
$226 Volume
1%
Tencent
$207 Volume
1%
StepFun
$187 Volume
1%

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.

AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Resolution Source: arena.ai

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Second-best AI Lab end of August?
No runaway leader here - Google at 59% versus Company A at 50%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Second-best AI Lab end of August?
Traders give Google a 59% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Second-best AI Lab end of August market resolve?
Mark 31 Aug 2026 (37 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Second-best AI Lab end of August?
$7.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Second-best AI Lab end of August on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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