Tech · AI

Which company has the third best AI model end of July?

$5.4K Volume
31/07/2026 00:00
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Anthropic
$23.5K Volume
85%
Google
$9.4K Volume
12%
OpenAI
$3.4K Volume
5%
Meta
$3.8K Volume
3%
xAI
$4.8K Volume
1%
DeepSeek
$2.9K Volume
1%
Meituan
$3.1K Volume
1%
Baidu
$3.2K Volume
1%
Alibaba
$2.4K Volume
1%
Z.ai
$943 Volume
1%
Moonshot
$2.6K Volume
1%
Mistral
$3K Volume
1%
Microsoft
$2.2K Volume
1%
Amazon
$3.1K Volume
1%
ByteDance
$2.7K Volume
1%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on July 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Which company has the third best AI model end of July?
Anthropic leads the field at 84%, with Google next at 11%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Which company has the third best AI model end of July?
Traders lean toward Anthropic, pricing it at 84%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the Which company has the third best AI model end of July market resolve?
Mark 31 Jul 2026 (22 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Which company has the third best AI model end of July?
Traders have put $5.4K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Which company has the third best AI model end of July on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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