This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Meta
54%
Microsoft
$25 Volume
35%
Moonshot
68%
Baidu
68%
Xiaomi
68%
SpaceXAI
40%
DeepSeek
68%
Amazon
51%
ByteDance
68%
Nvidia
65%
Thinky
68%
MiniMax
66%
Meituan
68%
StepFun
68%
Anthropic
64%
Google
30%
Alibaba
64%
OpenAI
65%
Z.ai
67%
Mistral
68%
Tencent
46%
Resolution Source: arena.ai
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Second-best AI Lab end of September?
No runaway leader here - Company A at 50% versus Company B at 50%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Second-best AI Lab end of September?
Traders give Company A a 50% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Second-best AI Lab end of September market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 30 Sep 2026 (67 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Second-best AI Lab end of September?
Total turnover stands at $8.6K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Second-best AI Lab end of September on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
1470+85%YesNo
1480+72%YesNo
claude-opus-4-6-thinking82%YesNo
Other18%YesNo
August 3183%YesNo
August 727%YesNo
155096%YesNo
157567%YesNo




