Big Tech · AI

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

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$8.4K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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Past

Jun 30

Dec 31

1550

$32.7K Volume

50%

1575

$9.3K Volume

18%

1600

$3K Volume

10%

Resolved 1

1525

$3.3K Volume

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

No runaway leader here - 1550 at 49% versus 1575 at 18%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.

What do traders predict for Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

At 49% implied for 1550, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.

When does the Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31 market resolve?

Mark 31 Dec 2026 (175 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

$8.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31 on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.