World · Germany

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?

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$4.1K Volume

06/09/2026 23:59

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Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Over” if BSW wins at least 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.

This market will resolve to “Under” if BSW wins less than 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.

This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.

Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?

The current front-runner is Under at 77%, ahead of Over at 23%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?

Traders currently imply a 77% chance for Under. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5% market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 6 Sep 2026 (13 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?

Total traded volume on this market is $4.1K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5% on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.