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Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?

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$6.3K Volume

20/09/2026 23:59

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<8%

$5.2K Volume

34%

8-11%

$434 Volume

51%

11-14%

$230 Volume

16%

14%+

$395 Volume

15%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by CDU in the specified election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.

Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?

The current front-runner is 8-11% at 48%, ahead of <8% at 33%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?

Traders currently imply a 48% chance for 8-11%. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 20 Sep 2026 (28 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share?

Total traded volume on this market is $6.3K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Vote Share on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.