Science · Weather

Precipitation in NYC in July?

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$2.7K Volume

31/07/2026 00:00

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Past

Jun 30 May 31 Apr 30 Mar 31 Feb 28

Jul 31

<2"

$3K Volume

2-3"

$3.3K Volume

3-4"

$645 Volume

59%

4-5"

$1.4K Volume

74%

5-6"

$20.8K Volume

17%

>6"

$463 Volume

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between July 1 and July 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for July 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of July 2026.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Precipitation in NYC in July?

It's a genuine race: 4-5" edges the field at 63%, barely ahead of 3-4" at 32%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.

What do traders predict for Precipitation in NYC in July?

At 63% implied for 4-5", the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.

When does the Precipitation in NYC in July market resolve?

The market runs until 31 Jul 2026 (9 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on Precipitation in NYC in July?

Traders have put $2.7K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Precipitation in NYC in July on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.