This market will resolve to “Yes” if Howard Lutnick ceases to be the US Secretary of Commerce for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lutnick's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trump
· Trump Cabinet
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
Past
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
Yes is the outsider here at 40%, while No trades at 61%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 40%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (153 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
Total turnover stands at $15.6K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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