This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Past
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?
The market prices Yes at only 10%, with No at 91%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 10% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (153 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?
Traders have put $220 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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