This market will resolve to the number of calendar days on which OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” during the specified month (ET).
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
This market will resolve at 12:00 PM ET on the day following the specified timeframe, provided no incident that began during the specified timeframe is ongoing, and all relevant data has been released. If either condition is not met, the market will remain open until the incident is marked as “Resolved” and all relevant data has been released. If all relevant data has not been released by the end of the seventh day after the specified timeframe, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Past
<3
$2.6K Volume
51%
3
$1.1K Volume
22%
4
$695 Volume
19%
5+
$1.1K Volume
7%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for # of ChatGPT Outage Days in July 2026?
It's a genuine race: <3 edges the field at 50%, barely ahead of 3 at 21%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for # of ChatGPT Outage Days in July 2026?
Traders give <3 a 50% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the # of ChatGPT Outage Days in July 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Jul 2026 (23 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on # of ChatGPT Outage Days in July 2026?
Traders have put $1.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade # of ChatGPT Outage Days in July 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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