putin · Russia

Moscow air traffic suspended by...?

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$20.2K Volume

15/09/2026 23:59

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Past

Jul 31

Sep 15 Aug 31 Aug 31 Oct 1

August 31

$19K Volume

25%

September 15

$1.1K Volume

76%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russian government or aviation authorities suspend departures and arrivals at all three of the following Moscow airports at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

The relevant airports are:
- Sheremetyevo (SVO);
- Domodedovo (DME); and
- Vnukovo (VKO).

A qualifying suspension refers to official flight restrictions suspending both departures and arrivals at all three airports for any amount of time. Such suspensions may be issued as one singular order or separate notices, provided suspensions of arrivals and departures are concurrently in effect at all three airports between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Suspensions described as "temporary restrictions on arrivals and departures" at the relevant airports by Russian authorities will qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official communications from the Russian government and Russian aviation authorities, including the Rosaviatsiya federal air transport agency; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Moscow air traffic suspended by?

The current front-runner is September 15 at 75%, ahead of August 31 at 24%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Moscow air traffic suspended by?

Traders currently imply a 75% chance for September 15. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Moscow air traffic suspended by market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 15 Sep 2026 (22 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Moscow air traffic suspended by?

Total traded volume on this market is $20.2K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Moscow air traffic suspended by on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.