This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rashida Tlaib
$2.3K Volume
98%
Byron Nolen
$270 Volume
3%
Shanelle Jackson
$236 Volume
2%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for MI-12 Democratic Primary Winner?
Rashida Tlaib dominates the field at 98%; the nearest challenger, Candidate A, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for MI-12 Democratic Primary Winner?
Traders price Rashida Tlaib at a 98% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the MI-12 Democratic Primary Winner market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 4 Aug 2026 (26 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on MI-12 Democratic Primary Winner?
Total turnover stands at $2.8K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade MI-12 Democratic Primary Winner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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