This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Sean McCann
$1.8K Volume
97%
Diop Harris
$1K Volume
3%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for MI-04 Democratic Primary Winner?
Sean McCann dominates the field at 97%; the nearest challenger, Candidate A, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for MI-04 Democratic Primary Winner?
Traders price Sean McCann at a 97% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the MI-04 Democratic Primary Winner market resolve?
Mark 4 Aug 2026 (25 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on MI-04 Democratic Primary Winner?
$2.8K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade MI-04 Democratic Primary Winner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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