This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on July 21, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Greg Stanton
$7.8K Volume
93%
Kai Newkirk
$4.7K Volume
9%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for AZ-04 Democratic Primary Winner?
At 92%, Greg Stanton has pulled far clear of Candidate A (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for AZ-04 Democratic Primary Winner?
With 92% implied for Greg Stanton, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the AZ-04 Democratic Primary Winner market resolve?
The market runs until 21 Jul 2026 (10 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on AZ-04 Democratic Primary Winner?
Total turnover stands at $12.5K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade AZ-04 Democratic Primary Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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