This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Jack Bergman
$2.2K Volume
96%
Matthew DenOtter
$336 Volume
5%
Justin Michal
$140 Volume
6%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for MI-01 Republican Primary Winner?
Jack Bergman dominates the field at 95%; the nearest challenger, Candidate A, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for MI-01 Republican Primary Winner?
With 95% implied for Jack Bergman, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the MI-01 Republican Primary Winner market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 4 Aug 2026 (27 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on MI-01 Republican Primary Winner?
Traders have put $2.6K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade MI-01 Republican Primary Winner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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