This market will resolve to "Yes" if McDonald’s Corporation, or a McDonald’s franchisee or representative authorized to open or operate a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, announces that it will open or has opened any McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba, or if such an opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual McDonald’s restaurant opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of a McDonald’s restaurant in Cuba will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening a McDonald’s restaurant, such as general business expansion statements, exploratory comments, or conditional announcements, will not count. Unlicensed restaurants, imitation restaurants, or other businesses using McDonald’s branding without authorization from McDonald’s Corporation will not qualify.
The resolution source will be official statements from McDonald’s Corporation or its authorized representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?
Yes is priced at 7% and No at 93%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?
Traders currently imply a 7% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (130 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $1.4K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade McDonald’s in Cuba announced in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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