This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade, tariffs, sanctions, or the US embargo on Cuba, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Cuba by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying agreement may include, but is not limited to, US sanctions relief for Cuba or other easing of U.S. restrictions on Cuban imports, exports, shipping, payments, energy trade, or other trade-related activity.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Cuba as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify . Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and Cuba, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
December 31
$22.2K Volume
18%
Resolved 3
April 30
$136K Volume
No
June 30
$183.5K Volume
No
July 31
$92.4K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US x Cuba economic deal by?
Yes is priced at 17% and No at 83%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for US x Cuba economic deal by?
Traders currently imply a 17% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the US x Cuba economic deal by market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on US x Cuba economic deal by?
Total traded volume on this market is $434.1K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade US x Cuba economic deal by on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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