Politics · Geopolitics

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by...?

$370.7K Volume
31/12/2026 00:00
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December 31
$89 Volume
89%
Resolved 1
June 30
$370.6K Volume
No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel ceases to be the President of Cuba for any period of time between November 18, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Miguel Díaz-Canel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Cuba, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by?
Traders are split - 59% for Yes versus 42% for No. A near coin-flip on the order book, so expect the odds to keep moving.
What do traders predict for Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by?
At 59% implied for Yes, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (159 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by?
Total turnover stands at $370.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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