Oil · Iran

How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 10? (Resolved)

$2.3K Volume
16/08/2026 23:59
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<180
$6.1K Volume
60%
180-199
$2K Volume
37%
200-219
$812 Volume
50%
220+
$3.3K Volume
52%

This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from August 10, 2026, through August 16, 2026, inclusive.

Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.

This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.

In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.

Only revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c.

Odds & FAQ

When does the How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 10? (Resolved) market resolve?
This market is settled. The final outcome was confirmed and paid out under Polymarket's published resolution rules.
How much money is trading on How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 10? (Resolved)?
Total turnover stands at $2.3K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

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