This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<20
$1.1K Volume
1%
20-39
$115 Volume
1%
40-59
$115 Volume
1%
60-79
$11.6K Volume
1%
80-99
$13K Volume
1%
100-119
$13.1K Volume
1%
120-139
$4.4K Volume
4%
140-159
$563 Volume
8%
160-179
$756 Volume
14%
180-199
$1.2K Volume
19%
200-219
$656 Volume
19%
220-239
$583 Volume
15%
240-259
$893 Volume
11%
260-279
$347 Volume
7%
280-299
$3.7K Volume
3%
300-319
$928 Volume
2%
320-339
$1.4K Volume
1%
340-359
$965 Volume
1%
360-379
$959 Volume
1%
380-399
$1.1K Volume
1%
400-419
$5.2K Volume
1%
420-439
$4K Volume
1%
440-459
$10.2K Volume
1%
460-479
$921 Volume
1%
480-499
$421 Volume
1%
500+
$18.5K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?
The field is wide open: 180-199 tops it at just 19%, with 200-219 close behind at 18%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is 180-199 at 19% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 18 Aug 2026 (10 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026?
$620.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
180-19945%YesNo
200-21928%YesNo
180-19924%YesNo
200-21924%YesNo
40-6466%YesNo
<4022%YesNo
800-83914%YesNo
840-87914%YesNo
160-17958%YesNo
180-19931%YesNo
40-6450%YesNo
<4025%YesNo
200+25%YesNo
180-19921%YesNo
200+43%YesNo
180-19934%YesNo
