The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election.
If two candidates tie for receiving the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the specified election, this market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the specified election.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Greater Manchester Combined Authority (https://www.gmelects.org.uk/).
Politics
· Elections
Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Most 1st Preference Votes
Bev Craig
$15.8K Volume
84%
Sian Astley
$4K Volume
15%
Paul Dennett
$805 Volume
1%
Dan Barker
$15.6K Volume
1%
Kate Green
$1.3K Volume
1%
Laura Evans
$676 Volume
1%
Nick Buckley
$885 Volume
1%
Hannah Spencer
$1.9K Volume
1%
Jake Austin
$900 Volume
1%
Arooj Shah
$1.4K Volume
1%
Geraldine Coggins
$1.9K Volume
1%
Marlon Scott West
$686 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Most 1st Preference Votes?
Bev Craig leads the field at 83%, with Richard Kilpatrick next at 50%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Most 1st Preference Votes?
Traders lean toward Bev Craig, pricing it at 83%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Most 1st Preference Votes market resolve?
Mark 30 Jul 2026 (22 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Most 1st Preference Votes?
$45.9K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Greater Manchester Mayoral Election: Most 1st Preference Votes on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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