ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

Volume $24.7K
Liquidity $21.5K
Ends 11/06/2026 00:00
interest rates Europe Economy Global Rates Economic Policy
Yes Probability
1%
No Probability
99%
Trading Volume
$24.7K
Time Remaining
50 days left
No change
$6.9K Volume
61%
25 bps Increase
$6.3K Volume
37%
50+ bps increase
$7.9K Volume
1%
25 bps decrease
$5.5K Volume
1%
50+ bps decrease
$6K Volume
1%

About This Market

This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.

If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html

The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html

This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.

If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the โ€œNo changeโ€ bracket.

Start Training ModePractice trading with $10,000 virtual money โ€” real Polymarket prices

Start Polymarket Training For Free

Trade prediction markets with virtual money. Real prices, zero risk. Compete on the leaderboard.