This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
<2.0%
$978 Volume
3%
2.0-2.2%
$1.3K Volume
1%
2.2-2.4%
$871 Volume
1%
2.4-2.6%
$2.1K Volume
1%
2.6-2.8%
$2.2K Volume
6%
2.8-3.0%
$8.1K Volume
31%
3.0%+
$7.3K Volume
67%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026?
The money is on 3.0%+ at 66%; 2.8-3.0% follows at 30%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026?
The market makes 3.0%+ the favorite at 66%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (130 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026?
Total turnover stands at $22.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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