This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) March 2025 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is information from the ECB released after its meeting scheduled for March 5-6, 2025 according to their official calendar: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official website of the ECB at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB's statement for their March meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by June 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
25 bps decrease
$112.8K Volume
99%
Increase
$298.6K Volume
1%
50+ bps decrease
$425.6K Volume
1%
No Change
$114.6K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
When does the ECB Interest Rates: March 2025 market resolve?
This market has already resolved and was settled under Polymarket's published rules.
How much money is trading on ECB Interest Rates: March 2025?
Total traded volume on this market is $28.6K - a gauge of how much real money traders have put behind the outcome.
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