diarea · Science

Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?

$674 Volume
31/08/2026 23:59
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Past
Aug 31
15,000+
$567 Volume
81%
20,000+
$335 Volume
47%
Resolved 1
10,000+
$2.5K Volume
Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis in humans in the territory of the United States of America since May 1, 2026, according to the CDC surveillance count by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Surveillance of Cyclosporiasis page’s “U.S. cases reported to CDC” count (see: https://www.cdc.gov/cyclosporiasis/php/surveillance/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC as confirmed domestically acquired cases of cyclosporiasis will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources. Travel-associated cases acquired outside the United States will not qualify.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
The money is on 15,000+ at 78%; 20,000+ follows at 37%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
The market makes 15,000+ the favorite at 78%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Aug 2026 (21 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31?
$674 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Cyclosporiasis cases in U.S. by August 31 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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