This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Weather
· Climate & Science
· Science
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
14–16
$185.6K Volume
31%
11–13
$411K Volume
26%
17–19
$206.7K Volume
10%
8–10
$131.2K Volume
8%
20+
$62.4K Volume
3%
5–7
$71.1K Volume
1%
Resolved 1
<5
$242.9K Volume
No
About This Market
Similar Markets
Highest temperature in Seoul on June 7?
23°C
Yes 61¢No 39¢
24°C
Yes 30¢No 70¢
Highest temperature in Chongqing on June 7?
26°C
Yes 91¢No 9¢
27°C
Yes 8¢No 92¢
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 7?
31°C
Yes 39¢No 61¢
30°C
Yes 36¢No 64¢
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 7?
25°C
Yes 88¢No 12¢
26°C
Yes 9¢No 91¢
Highest temperature in Shanghai on June 7?
27°C
Yes 57¢No 43¢
28°C
Yes 23¢No 77¢
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 7?
34°C
Yes 60¢No 40¢
35°C
Yes 23¢No 77¢
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 7?
27°C
Yes 96¢No 4¢
28°C
Yes 5¢No 95¢
