This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending June 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in June 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for June 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on July 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
≤3.3%
$414 Volume
30%
3.4%
$1.6K Volume
30%
3.5%
$3.6K Volume
40%
3.6%
$1.2K Volume
11%
3.7%
$690 Volume
1%
3.8%
$239 Volume
1%
3.9%+
$386 Volume
1%
Analysis & News
Polymarket Movers Today: the Biggest Odds Swings - June 15, 2026
Polymarket Movers Today: the Biggest Odds Swings - June 13, 2026
Polymarket Movers Today: the Biggest Odds Swings - June 11, 2026
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Core PCE YoY - June 2026?
The field is wide open: 3.5% tops it at just 38%, with ≤3.3% close behind at 30%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Core PCE YoY - June 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is 3.5% at 38% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Core PCE YoY - June 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 30 Jul 2026 (20 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Core PCE YoY - June 2026?
$272 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Core PCE YoY - June 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
October Meeting47%YesNo
September Meeting44%YesNo
3.8%49%YesNo
3.7%31%YesNo
0.2%38%YesNo
0.1%25%YesNo
≤0.1%98%YesNo
0.2%1%YesNo
6.2%39%YesNo
6.3%20%YesNo
2.8%53%YesNo
2.9%35%YesNo
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)41%YesNo
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)38%YesNo
↓ $3.7054%YesNo
↑ $4.0053%YesNo
