This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
≤0.0%
$118 Volume
1%
0.1%
$147 Volume
34%
0.2%
$183 Volume
34%
0.3%
$130 Volume
32%
0.4%
$177 Volume
3%
0.5%
$190 Volume
1%
0.6%+
$165 Volume
3%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Core CPI MoM - July 2026?
The field is wide open: 0.2% tops it at just 33%, with 0.1% close behind at 32%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Core CPI MoM - July 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is 0.2% at 33% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Core CPI MoM - July 2026 market resolve?
Mark 12 Aug 2026 (33 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Core CPI MoM - July 2026?
$951 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Core CPI MoM - July 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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