This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and July 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Past
↓ $2.50
$97 Volume
32%
↓ $3.00
42%
↓ $3.25
37%
↓ $3.50
49%
↓ $3.60
89%
↓ $3.70
$10 Volume
91%
↑ $3.90
92%
↑ $4.00
53%
↑ $4.25
53%
↑ $4.50
$258 Volume
5%
↑ $5.00
$382 Volume
4%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will gas hit __ by end of July?
It's a genuine race: ↓ $3.70 edges the field at 52%, barely ahead of ↑ $3.90 at 51%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Will gas hit __ by end of July?
Traders give ↓ $3.70 a 52% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Will gas hit __ by end of July market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Jul 2026 (21 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will gas hit __ by end of July?
Traders have put $747 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Will gas hit __ by end of July on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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