Canada · Politics

Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

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$96 Volume

31/12/2026 23:59

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice.

An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

Yes is priced at 5% and No at 96%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

Traders currently imply a 5% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

Total traded volume on this market is $96, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31 on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.