A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).
Fatima Shaban
$6.7K Volume
53%
Ahsanul Hafiz
$6.4K Volume
47%
Noor Tarun
$607 Volume
1%
Mark Bekkering
$611 Volume
1%
Chris Rees
$574 Volume
1%
Person A
50%
Person B
50%
Person C
50%
Person D
50%
Person E
50%
Person F
50%
Person G
50%
Person H
50%
Person I
50%
Person J
50%
Person K
50%
Person L
50%
Person M
50%
Person N
50%
Person O
50%
Person P
50%
Person Q
50%
Person R
50%
Person S
50%
Person T
50%
Person U
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner?
The current front-runner is Fatima Shaban at 50%, ahead of Person A at 50%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner?
Traders currently imply a 50% chance for Fatima Shaban. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 3 Sep 2026 (11 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner?
Total traded volume on this market is $14.9K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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