A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Brazil
· Politics
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro
Flavio Bolsonaro
$4K Volume
83%
Lula
$2.2K Volume
18%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$453 Volume
1%
Pablo Marçal
$597 Volume
1%
Renan Santos
$699 Volume
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$611 Volume
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$431 Volume
1%
Samara
$433 Volume
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$567 Volume
1%
Clariana Barao
$375 Volume
1%
Edmilson Costa
$453 Volume
1%
Hertz Dias
$373 Volume
1%
Zema
$373 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro?
The current front-runner is Flavio Bolsonaro at 81%, ahead of Candidate A at 50%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro?
Traders currently imply a 81% chance for Flavio Bolsonaro. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 4 Oct 2026 (41 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro?
Total traded volume on this market is $11.5K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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