A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Brazil
· Politics
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso
Flavio Bolsonaro
$2.8K Volume
95%
Lula
$1.3K Volume
4%
Clariana Barao
$278 Volume
1%
Edmilson Costa
$358 Volume
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$373 Volume
1%
Hertz Dias
$274 Volume
1%
Pablo Marçal
$327 Volume
1%
Renan Santos
$248 Volume
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$332 Volume
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$291 Volume
1%
Samara
$365 Volume
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$284 Volume
1%
Zema
$481 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso?
The current front-runner is Flavio Bolsonaro at 95%, ahead of Candidate A at 50%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso?
Traders currently imply a 95% chance for Flavio Bolsonaro. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 4 Oct 2026 (41 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso?
Total traded volume on this market is $7.7K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%YesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro35%YesNo
Eduardo Paes94%YesNo
Douglas Ruas5%YesNo
Ricardo Ferraço83%YesNo
Lorenzo Pazolini10%YesNo
Eduardo Braga72%YesNo
Capitão Alberto Neto11%YesNo
Ciro Nogueira43%YesNo
Marcelo Castro20%YesNo
Benedita da Silva60%YesNo
Carlos Jordy38%YesNo
Alexandre Guimarães47%YesNo
Gaguim35%YesNoFlávio Bolsonaro86%YesNoLuiz Inácio Lula da Silva6%YesNo
