The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Bahia is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rui Costa
$5.4K Volume
72%
Jaques Wagner
$4K Volume
21%
João Roma
$1.4K Volume
9%
Angelo Coronel
$1K Volume
1%
Carlos Sodré
$774 Volume
1%
Gregorio Gould
$608 Volume
1%
Marcelo Carvalho
$741 Volume
1%
Marcelo Millet
$729 Volume
1%
Marcelo Santtana
$746 Volume
1%
Professora Delliana
$629 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place?
The current front-runner is Rui Costa at 72%, ahead of Candidate A at 50%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place?
Traders currently imply a 72% chance for Rui Costa. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 4 Oct 2026 (41 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place?
Total traded volume on this market is $16K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Bahia Senate Election: 1st Place on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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