This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Arthur Rinderknech in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Arthur Rinderknech.
This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Sho Shimabukuro.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech
ATP
Arthur Rinderknech6⁴65
Sho Shimabukuro726LIVE · S3
Game context
Arthur Rinderknech enters the US Open first-round matchup as the clear market favorite, reflecting his ATP ranking near No. 29 and 26th seed status against Sho Shimabukuro’s position around No. 87. The 6-foot-5 Frenchman brings superior recent hard-court experience from Masters events in Montreal and Cincinnati, along with a stronger overall serve that has produced high ace totals in recent outings. Shimabukuro, despite a career-high ranking achieved earlier in 2026, shows limited main-tour consistency with just three wins in his last ten matches and early exits in the lead-up tournaments. This marks their first meeting on the ATP Tour, with the hard-court surface and Grand Slam setting amplifying Rinderknech’s edge in experience and physical tools while leaving room for the Japanese player’s potential on his preferred surface.
Moneyline
$371.8K Vol.Match Completed
Set Handicap
$233 Vol.Total Games
$254 Vol.US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 36.5
US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 38.5
US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 40.5
More Bets
$175 Vol.US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Game Spread +/-3.5
Sho Shimabukuro 3-0
Sho Shimabukuro 3-1
Sho Shimabukuro 3-2
Arthur Rinderknech 3-0
Arthur Rinderknech 3-1
Arthur Rinderknech 3-2
Not Completed
Set Winner
$16 Vol.US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 3 Winner
US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 4 Winner
Set Total
US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Total Sets: O/U 4.5
US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 3 O/U 8.5
US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 3 O/U 9.5
US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 3 O/U 10.5
US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 4 O/U 8.5
US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 4 O/U 9.5
US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 4 O/U 10.5
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech?
The current front-runner is US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 36.5 at 90%, ahead of US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 38.5 at 90%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech?
Traders currently imply a 90% chance for US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 36.5. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 6 Sep 2026 (7 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech?
Total traded volume on this market is $7.5M, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade US Open ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
