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US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marton Fucsovics

ATP
Marton Fucsovics442
Daniel Merida Aguilar666
Final
Game context

Daniel Merida Aguilar, the rapidly ascending 21-year-old Spaniard ranked around No. 39, enters the US Open first-round matchup against veteran Marton Fucsovics (No. 121-122) with strong recent hard-court momentum after deep runs in Montreal and Cincinnati. Merida has climbed hundreds of ranking spots in two years and holds an 18-9 record for 2026, contrasting sharply with the 34-year-old Hungarian’s 9-16 season mark and recent three-match losing streak. Their lone prior meeting came on clay in 2022 (Fucsovics win), but the outdoor hard courts and Merida’s current form and serve effectiveness shift the dynamic. Trader consensus reflects this gap, pricing Merida as a heavy favorite while noting Fucsovics’ experience in 13 prior US Opens as a potential variable in a best-of-five set.

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This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Marton Fucsovics in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Marton Fucsovics.

This market will resolve to 'Marton Fucsovics' if Marton Fucsovics advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Source: www.atptour.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marton Fucsovics?
The current front-runner is Daniel Merida Aguilar 3-0 at 90%, ahead of Marton Fucsovics 3-1 at 10%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marton Fucsovics?
Traders currently imply a 90% chance for Daniel Merida Aguilar 3-0. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marton Fucsovics market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 6 Sep 2026 (7 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marton Fucsovics?
Total traded volume on this market is $7.5M, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marton Fucsovics on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

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