This market refers to the tennis match between Toby Samuel and Francesco Maestrelli in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 2:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Toby Samuel' if Toby Samuel advances against Francesco Maestrelli.
This market will resolve to 'Francesco Maestrelli' if Francesco Maestrelli advances against Toby Samuel.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli
ATP
Francesco Maestrelli731
Toby Samuel6²66Final
Game context
Toby Samuel holds the clear edge in this US Open qualifying first-round matchup on outdoor hard courts, reflecting his higher ATP ranking near 113 and stronger recent trajectory compared to Francesco Maestrelli at approximately 166. Samuel reached the main draw at both the 2026 French Open and Wimbledon, posting a career-high ranking in early August, while Maestrelli has endured a dip with just one win in his last several outings and exits in recent hard-court qualifiers. The surface favors neither player dramatically, but Samuel’s serve and consistency on faster courts, combined with greater Grand Slam qualifying experience, underpin the market’s consensus around an 78% implied probability for the Briton. Late scratches or weather delays remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome in this closely scheduled encounter.
Moneyline
$101.6K Vol.Match Completed
Set Total
$8 Vol.US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Total Sets: O/U 2.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 2 O/U 8.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 2 O/U 9.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 2 O/U 10.5
Set Winner
$10 Vol.Set Handicap
$158 Vol.Total Games
$273 Vol.US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Match O/U 21.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Match O/U 22.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Match O/U 23.5
1st Set Winner
$339 Vol.1st Set Total
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 1 O/U 8.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 1 O/U 9.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 1 O/U 10.5
More Bets
$191 Vol. Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli?
The current front-runner is Completed Match at 99%, ahead of US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Total Sets: O/U 2.5 at 99%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli?
Traders currently imply a 99% chance for Completed Match. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Aug 2026 (6 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli?
Total traded volume on this market is $17.1M, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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