This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Andrey Rublev in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Andrey Rublev.
This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev
ATP
Andrey Rublev720
Daniel Merida Aguilar6³60LIVE · S3
Game context
Andrey Rublev enters this US Open second-round matchup on hard courts as the higher-ranked player at No. 24 but arrives fatigued after a grueling five-set comeback against Otto Virtanen that lasted over three hours and included saving a match point. The Russian has shown inconsistency recently, dropping outside the top 20 and losing several matches to lower-ranked opponents on the North American swing. In contrast, 21-year-old Spaniard Daniel Mérida Aguilar, ranked No. 39 and on an upward trajectory after claiming the Umag title and reaching the Montreal quarterfinals, has posted strong results on hard courts, remaining undefeated against non-top-20 players during this stretch while demonstrating efficient serving and baseline consistency. Their first career meeting pits Rublev’s experience against Mérida’s momentum, with trader pricing reflecting a competitive implied probability favori
Moneyline
$1.6M Vol.Match Completed
Set Total
$3.4K Vol.US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Total Sets: O/U 3.5
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 8.5
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Total Sets: O/U 4.5
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 9.5
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 10.5
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 3 O/U 8.5
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 3 O/U 9.5
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 3 O/U 10.5
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 4 O/U 8.5
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 4 O/U 9.5
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 4 O/U 10.5
Total Games
$3.4K Vol.US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 36.5
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 38.5
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 40.5
Set Winner
$49 Vol.US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 Winner
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 3 Winner
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 4 Winner
Set Handicap
$10.5K Vol.US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set Handicap +/-1.5
US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set Handicap +/-2.5
More Bets
$863 Vol.US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Game Spread +/-3.5
Daniel Merida Aguilar 3-1
Daniel Merida Aguilar 3-2
Andrey Rublev 3-0
Andrey Rublev 3-1
Andrey Rublev 3-2
Not Completed
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev?
The current front-runner is US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 Winner at 99%, ahead of US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Total Sets: O/U 3.5 at 99%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev?
Traders currently imply a 99% chance for US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 Winner. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 9 Sep 2026 (7 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev?
Total traded volume on this market is $16.6M, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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