This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 31 12:00 PM ET to September 2, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<40
$2.9K Volume
18%
40-64
$11.4K Volume
52%
65-89
$7K Volume
25%
90-114
$4.2K Volume
5%
115-139
$3.5K Volume
1%
140-164
$3.6K Volume
1%
165-189
$3.6K Volume
1%
190-214
$2.1K Volume
1%
215-239
$339 Volume
1%
240+
$279 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets August 31 - September 2, 2026?
The current front-runner is 40-64 at 52%, ahead of 65-89 at 25%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets August 31 - September 2, 2026?
Traders currently imply a 52% chance for 40-64. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets August 31 - September 2, 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 2 Sep 2026 (3 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets August 31 - September 2, 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $233.3K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets August 31 - September 2, 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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