This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on January 31, 2027, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Google
$2.5K Volume
42%
Anthropic
$2.3K Volume
36%
Meta
$999 Volume
22%
SpaceXAI
$752 Volume
5%
Moonshot
$250 Volume
5%
Thinky
$797 Volume
11%
Alibaba
$310 Volume
9%
Z.ai
$911 Volume
3%
DeepSeek
$825 Volume
5%
Mistral
$493 Volume
11%
OpenAI
$221 Volume
3%
Xiaomi
$217 Volume
5%
MiniMax
$446 Volume
10%
Amazon
$297 Volume
10%
ByteDance
$275 Volume
2%
StepFun
$350 Volume
10%
Microsoft
$559 Volume
10%
Baidu
$209 Volume
1%
Nvidia
$210 Volume
1%
Meituan
$175 Volume
1%
Tencent
$281 Volume
1%
Company A
50%
Company B
50%
Company C
50%
Company D
50%
Company E
50%
Company F
50%
Company G
50%
Company H
50%
Company I
50%
Company J
50%
Company K
50%
Company L
50%
Company M
50%
Other
50%
Relevant Guides
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Second-best AI Lab end of January?
The current front-runner is Company A at 50%, ahead of Company B at 50%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Second-best AI Lab end of January?
Traders currently imply a 50% chance for Company A. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Second-best AI Lab end of January market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Feb 2027 (90 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Second-best AI Lab end of January?
Total traded volume on this market is $3K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Second-best AI Lab end of January on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
$1.75–$2.0T32%YesNo
$1.5–$1.75T21%YesNo
↑$1.5T94%YesNo
↑$1.75T83%YesNo
Google57%YesNo
Anthropic32%YesNo
November 9–November 1573%YesNo
November 2–November 812%YesNo
November 1062%YesNo
November 1216%YesNo
$95B to $105B32%YesNo
$85B to $95B27%YesNo
December 3199%YesNo
November 3098%YesNo
December 3196%YesNo
November 3084%YesNo
