Zambia · Politics

Zambia National Assembly Election: 2nd Place

$1.3K Volume
13/08/2026 23:59
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NRPUP
$740 Volume
98%
UPND
$90 Volume
6%
SP
$110 Volume
2%
CF
$356 Volume
3%

Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of Zambia are scheduled to take place on August 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-highest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election.

The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party’s candidates, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Zambia National Assembly Election: 2nd Place?
At 95%, NRPUP has pulled far clear of Party A (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Zambia National Assembly Election: 2nd Place?
With 95% implied for NRPUP, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Zambia National Assembly Election: 2nd Place market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026 (20 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Zambia National Assembly Election: 2nd Place?
Traders have put $1.3K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Zambia National Assembly Election: 2nd Place on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

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