Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of Zambia are scheduled to take place on August 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Zambia as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the National Assembly of Zambia serving as a result of this election, including appointed members and those elected by proportional representation.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from. A member appointed by the President will count towards the party of their personal affiliation if such affiliation is clear. If their affiliation is ambiguous or unclear, they will count towards the party of the President.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Zambian government.
UPND
$1.5K Volume
98%
NRPUP
$1K Volume
2%
SP
$497 Volume
2%
CF
$508 Volume
2%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Zambia National Assembly Election: Party Winner?
UPND dominates the field at 97%; the nearest challenger, Party A, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Zambia National Assembly Election: Party Winner?
With 97% implied for UPND, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Zambia National Assembly Election: Party Winner market resolve?
The market runs until 13 Aug 2026 (19 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Zambia National Assembly Election: Party Winner?
$3.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Zambia National Assembly Election: Party Winner on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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