This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
Yes is priced at 1% and No at 99%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
Traders currently imply a 1% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Xi Jinping divorce before 2027 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
Total traded volume on this market is $109.1K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Xi Jinping divorce before 2027 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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