This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.
The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
The market prices Yes at only 2%, with No at 98%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 2% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Xi Jinping divorce before 2027 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (174 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
$103.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Xi Jinping divorce before 2027 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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