This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Yes is the outsider here at 11%, while No trades at 90%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 11% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (157 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
Traders have put $149.6K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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