This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Dong Jun
$37.1K Volume
9%
Zhang Shengmin
$27K Volume
7%
Zhao Leji
$10.9K Volume
5%
Cai Qi
$41.5K Volume
4%
Ding Xuexiang
$15.9K Volume
4%
Wang Huning
$11.8K Volume
6%
Wang Yi
$15.4K Volume
3%
Li Qiang
$6.8K Volume
3%
Li Xi
$28.1K Volume
3%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
Even the leader is cheap - Dong Jun trades at 8%, Zhang Shengmin at 6%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
No strong consensus yet: Dong Jun tops the implied probabilities at just 8%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (157 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
$194.5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
